Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open flat tracking global cues and SGX Nifty.
BSE Sensex
0.9
276
31,568
U.S. indices closed in red after ending the previous session substantially higher.
Nifty
0.9
87
9,853
Selling pressure was somewhat subdued, however, limiting the downside for the
Mid Cap
1.4
205
15,131
major averages. The correction came as trader reacted to comments made by
Small Cap
1.2
187
15,576
President Donald Trump at rally in Phonix, Arizona. Trump pledged to a crowd of
Bankex
1.4
376
27,455
supporters that he would build the controversial wall on the border with Mexico and
said "would shut down U.S. Government if congress doesn’t fund campaign pledge
to build a wall on Mexican border".
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
U.K. stocks ended a choppy session little changed on Wednesday as a falling pound
Dow Jones
(0.4)
(88)
21,812
buoyed exporters, but the benchmark index still struggled to shake off a downbeat
Nasdaq
(0.3)
(19)
6,278
trend in European equities. The FTSE 100 UKX rose 0.01% to close at 7,383.
FTSE
0.0
1
7,383
Nikkei
(00.3
51
19,435
On domestic front, a late bout of buying helped Indian shares finish Wednesday's
session on a strong note. State-run banks soared after the government approved
Hang Seng
0.9
247
27,402
setting up of an alternative mechanism for merger and consolidation of public sector
Shanghai Com
(0.1)
(3)
3,288
banks. The almost all PSU bank witnessed rally of 1-4 percent. Infosys rose over 2
percent to snap a three-session losing streak after ex-CFO V Balakrishnan favored
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
bringing in Nandan Nilekani as the chairman of the company. The benchmark BSE
Advances
1,628
1,125
Sensex inched up 0.88 percent at 31,568, while Nifty index climbed 0.89 percent to
finish at 9,852.50.
Declines
1,974
556
Unchanged
131
76
News Analysis
Cabinet clears alternative mechanism to oversee PSU bank mergers
Volumes (` Cr)
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
BSE
3,106
NSE
23,817
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
FII
(5(728) (10,493)
47,904
Refer Pg7 onwards
MFs
804
63
10,828
61,774
Top Picks
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Blue Star
Capital Goods
Accumulate
734
760
3.6
Denacem
192
9.1
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Buy
468
520
11.1
Icil
109
8.9
Mahindra Lifespace
Real Estate
Buy
412
522
26.8
Fortis
153
7.7
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
184
265
43.8
Balkrisind
1,592
7.6
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Buy
225
258
14.9
More Top Picks on Pg5
Bomdyeing
79
7.3
Key Upcoming Events
Previous
Consensus
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Hcl-Insys
245
(4.0)
Aug 24, 2017 US
Initial Jobless claims
232.00
238.00
Aiaeng
1,334
(3.7)
Aug 24, 2017 Germany GDP nsa (YoY)
0.80
0.80
Dbcorp
367
(3.3)
Aug 24, 2017 UK
GDP (YoY)
1.70
1.70
Aug 25, 2017 US
Existing home sales
5.52
5.55
Videoind
18
(3.0)
Aug 29, 2017 US
Consumer Confidence
121.10
119.00
Pcjeweller
362
(2.3)
More Events on Pg7
#as on 23th Aug, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
News Analysis
Bandhan
The finally government moved towards more merger in PSU banks as currently
PSU banks asset quality is worsened and struggling to generate new business.
The Union Cabinet on Wednesday approved an alternative mechanism to oversee
proposals of amalgamation of public sector banks. “The proposals received from
banks for in-principle approval to formulate schemes of amalgamation shall be
placed before the Alternative Mechanism (AM),” said Finance Minister Arun Jaitley,
adding that the decision will be based only on commercial consideration by the
boards of the banks involved.
After getting in-principle approval, the banks will take steps in accordance with the
law and SEBI requirements. “The final scheme will be notified by the Central
government in consultation with the Reserve Bank of India,” he told newspersons
after the Cabinet meeting.
Economic and Political News
Banks must file for bankruptcy after three months of recovery effort: Viral
Acharya
Cabinet clears alternative mechanism to oversee PSU bank mergers
The Centre on Wednesday notified currency notes of the denomination of
200
Corporate News
Reliance Industries: To import 1.6 million tonne ethane from the U.S.,
according to a PTI report
Hindustan Copper: Resumes copper mine operations in Jharkhand
Tata Group eyes Essar Steel to regain steel crown (Economic Times)
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
21,587
1,805
2,161
19.7
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,252
416
480
15.4
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
7,026
734
760
3.6
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve
once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
14,677
468
520
11.1
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Karur Vysya Bank
8,213
136
160
17.7
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
1,747
225
258
14.9
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
2,113
412
522
26.8
visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,122
372
434
16.7
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,628
184
265
43.8
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
1,823
1,945
2,500
28.5
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
1,464
246
344
40.1
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,28,839
7,575
8,544
12.8
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bl oomberg Data
D ate
Time
C ountry
Event Description
Unit
Period
L ast Reporte d
E stimate d
Aug 24, 2017
6:00 PM US
Initial Jobless claims
Thousands
Aug 19
232.00
238.00
11: 30 AM Germany
GDP nsa (YoY)
% Change
2Q F
0.80
0.80
2:00 PM UK
GDP (YoY)
% Change
2Q P
1.70
1.70
Aug 25, 2017
7:30 PM US
Existing home sales
Million
Jul
5.52
5.55
Aug 29, 2017
7:30 PM US
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Aug
121.10
119.00
Aug 30, 2017
6:00 PM US
GDP Qoq (Annualise d)
% Change
2Q S
2.60
2.70
Aug 31, 2017
1:25 PM Germany
Unempl oyment change (000's)
Thousands
Aug
(8.00)
6:30 AM China
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
51.40
51.20
Sep 01, 2017
6:00 PM US
Change in N onfarm payrolls
Thousands
Aug
209.00
180.00
6:00 PM US
Unnemployment rate
%
Aug
4.30
4.30
2:00 PM UK
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Aug
55.10
Sep 05, 2017
2:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ)
% Change
2Q F
0.60
Sep 07, 2017
5:15 PM Euro Zone
ECB announces interest rates
%
Sep 7
-
Sep 08, 2017
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
3.94
India
Imports YoY%
% Change
Aug
15.40
2:00 PM UK
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Jul
0.30
China
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
7.20
Sep 09, 2017
7:00 AM China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Aug
1.40
Sep 12, 2017
2:00 PM UK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Aug
2.60
5:30 PM India
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Jul
(0.10)
Sep 13, 2017
2:00 PM UK
Joble ss claims change
% Change
Aug
(4.20)
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Aug
(0.20)
Sep 14, 2017
7:30 AM China
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Aug
6.40
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
5.7
5.7
10.0
6.0
9.1
8.8
4.9
4.9
9.0
5.0
7.9
8.0
7.9
7.6
7.5
3.8
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
7.0
3.0
2.6
2.8
2.8
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
1.9
6.0
2.0
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(0.1)
(1.0)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
6.0
54.0
5.1
52.0
5.0
4.3
4.2
3.9
50.0
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.0
48.0
3.0
2.4
2.2
46.0
2.0
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
20.0
5.00
10.0
4.50
0.0
4.00
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
(30.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.6
6.0
5.3
5.0
1.0
5.0
4.0
3.3
2.9
3.0
2.1
1.7
1.8
0.5
2.0
1.3
1.0
-
(1.0)
(0.4)
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2016 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
7.0
6.6
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
C ountry
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
70,478
8.3
11.4
19.3
Russia
Micex
1,959
1.4
0.3
(1.4)
India
Nifty
9,853
(0.6)
5.0
13.6
China
Shanghai Composite
3,288
1.4
7.3
7.8
South Africa
Top 40
49,735
4.0
3.5
8.1
Mexico
Mexbol
51,280
(0.7)
3.8
7.4
Indonesia
LQ45
988
1.2
3.4
5.1
Malaysia
KLCI
1,773
0.6
(0.1)
4.3
Thailand
SET 50
1,002
0.3
1.4
2.5
USA
Dow Jones
21,812
1.4
4.2
18.0
UK
FTSE
7,383
0.1
(1.8)
8.3
Japan
Nikkei
19,435
(3.3)
(0.9)
17.1
Germany
DAX
12,174
(0.3)
(3.7)
15.5
France
CAC
5,115
(0.2)
(4.2)
15.3
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
232
209
4,518
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
24.5
22.1
3.7
3.4
15.8
16.0
2.3
2.1
United Phosphorus
Neutral
816
-
41,428
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
22.5
17.9
4.7
3.9
22.7
23.8
2.4
2.0
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Buy
103
124
30,070
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
22.1
16.5
4.4
3.9
20.0
23.6
1.2
1.0
Bajaj Auto
Accumulate
2,761
3,151
79,880
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
19.3
16.5
4.2
3.8
21.8
22.8
2.9
2.4
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,168
-
27,180
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
32.4
24.7
5.8
5.0
18.5
20.8
3.4
2.9
Eicher Motors
Neutral
30,648
-
83,431
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
36.7
30.1
13.7
10.6
40.9
37.8
4.3
3.5
Gabriel India
Neutral
173
-
2,489
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
24.4
19.6
4.9
4.2
21.0
22.2
1.3
1.2
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
3,890
4,129
77,685
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
21.1
18.8
6.6
5.8
31.3
30.7
2.2
1.9
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
240
-
1,911
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
17.3
13.6
4.7
3.8
30.0
31.0
1.3
1.1
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,373
-
85,267
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
20.3
17.2
2.9
2.6
15.0
15.9
1.7
1.4
Maruti
Accumulate
7,575
8,544
228,839
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
26.7
21.3
5.8
4.8
21.9
22.4
2.5
1.9
Minda Industries
Neutral
779
-
6,732
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
28.6
21.4
6.1
4.7
23.1
25.6
1.6
1.4
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
315
-
66,292
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
18.6
15.0
4.2
4.3
25.2
25.4
1.2
1.0
Tata Motors
Neutral
380
-
109,748
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
11.5
7.0
1.9
1.5
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.3
TVS Motor
Neutral
584
-
27,757
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
34.3
28.8
9.1
7.0
29.7
27.7
1.9
1.6
Amara Raja Batteries
Accumulate
765
858
13,074
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
26.1
19.6
4.5
3.7
17.1
19.0
2.1
1.8
Exide Industries
Neutral
199
-
16,919
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
20.6
18.1
3.7
3.2
15.7
16.1
1.7
1.5
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
260
-
13,245
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
12.8
9.8
1.5
1.4
20.4
26.7
1.1
1.0
Ceat
Neutral
1,671
-
6,760
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
14.4
9.4
2.5
2.1
15.2
21.3
1.1
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
143
-
3,245
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
6.8
5.2
1.3
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.8
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
1,956
-
2,429
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
27.3
24.2
7.9
7.3
29.6
31.0
2.7
2.4
Subros
Neutral
216
-
1,297
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
21.1
14.8
3.2
2.7
15.8
19.1
0.9
0.8
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,806
-
7,522
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
42.1
31.1
3.5
3.1
7.6
8.7
1.8
1.5
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
183
-
40,887
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
25.1
21.3
0.5
0.4
20.4
21.9
3.5
2.8
Voltas
Neutral
522
-
17,264
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
30.5
23.3
7.3
6.4
17.7
19.8
2.2
1.9
BHEL
Neutral
128
-
31,219
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
20.6
11.4
0.9
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.5
0.4
Blue Star
Neutral
734
-
7,026
5,101
5,997
6.0
7.0
17.9
26.6
41.0
27.6
8.7
8.0
21.9
29.0
1.4
1.2
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
80
-
5,033
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
8,030.0
100.4
1.2
1.3
0.1
1.2
0.9
0.8
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
145
-
3,539
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
17.9
15.9
4.0
3.8
21.8
23.6
1.8
1.6
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Neutral
299
-
7,684
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
21.1
16.4
4.0
3.3
21.1
22.1
1.0
0.9
KEI Industries
Accumulate
225
258
1,747
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
17.3
13.9
3.1
2.6
18.2
18.7
0.8
0.7
Thermax
Neutral
872
-
10,390
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
32.7
27.7
3.7
3.3
11.2
12.0
2.2
2.0
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
603
681
3,292
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
17.3
15.2
2.9
2.5
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,803
-
33,850
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
31.1
27.2
3.7
3.4
11.5
12.2
2.7
2.5
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
276
-
54,814
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
38.3
33.3
2.8
2.6
7.0
7.8
5.1
4.5
India Cements
Neutral
178
-
5,490
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
21.0
15.5
1.0
1.0
4.8
6.2
1.2
1.1
JK Cement
Neutral
1,013
-
7,079
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
20.7
16.0
3.3
2.8
17.0
18.5
2.1
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
416
-
4,892
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
30.8
17.9
3.2
2.8
10.8
15.5
1.8
1.6
Orient Cement
Neutral
151
-
3,088
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
25.6
21.9
2.0
1.8
10.8
10.1
2.4
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
3,964
-
108,818
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
51.2
32.4
4.3
3.9
9.6
14.8
4.3
3.5
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
216
-
3,040
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
17.9
15.8
1.0
0.8
17.5
16.7
1.7
1.4
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,124
-
157,477
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
25.3
22.2
3.2
2.9
12.9
13.1
2.2
1.9
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
132
-
6,377
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
25.9
21.5
3.2
3.1
12.7
14.9
8.1
7.0
PNC Infratech
Neutral
140
-
3,588
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
21.9
15.5
0.6
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.8
1.3
Simplex Infra
Neutral
494
-
2,442
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
23.5
16.0
1.6
1.5
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Accumulate
268
298
4,594
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
26.0
22.7
3.1
2.7
10.1
10.5
1.5
1.3
NBCC
Neutral
205
-
18,459
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
28.2
21.4
1.2
1.0
27.5
30.5
1.9
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
114
-
1,858
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
48.6
18.8
18.4
12.4
35.2
55.8
1.9
1.6
SIPL
Neutral
103
-
3,628
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.9
4.4
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.5
6.1
Engineers India
Neutral
151
-
10,186
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
25.6
18.7
1.8
1.8
12.9
16.1
4.1
2.6
Financials
Axis Bank
Buy
503
580
120,588
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
18.1
12.3
2.0
1.7
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
141
-
32,466
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
11.7
6.7
0.8
0.7
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
336
-
20,075
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
18.2
9.2
0.7
0.7
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,785
-
7,414
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
25.8
19.8
5.7
4.6
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Accumulate
1,147
1,230
17,928
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
21.4
17.8
3.6
3.1
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Accumulate
468
520
14,677
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
12.5
9.4
1.6
1.4
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
157
235
5,333
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
104.9
26.2
2.4
2.2
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Buy
107
125
20,729
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
19.9
14.1
1.7
1.6
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,773
-
456,586
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
25.8
21.5
4.5
3.7
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
298
315
191,378
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
16.2
11.6
1.8
1.7
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Buy
136
160
8,213
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
12.6
9.7
1.5
1.3
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
660
-
33,325
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
13.0
9.9
2.6
2.2
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
142
-
30,302
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
24.2
8.7
0.7
0.7
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
509
-
19,312
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
31.1
26.7
3.9
3.5
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
650
825
4,063
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
16.9
13.3
3.0
2.5
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
27
-
4,899
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.0
7.1
0.9
0.8
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
279
-
240,618
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
17.3
10.9
1.4
1.2
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
134
-
9,222
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
5.8
4.1
0.4
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,722
-
78,816
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
20.5
17.3
3.1
2.7
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,755
-
8,417
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
30.0
25.8
7.4
6.5
24.5
25.1
2.5
2.2
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,140
-
109,373
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.5
0.5
11.3
9.5
28.0
28.9
6.0
5.1
Britannia
Neutral
4,251
-
51,035
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
50.6
42.1
18.4
14.7
40.6
39.0
5.2
4.5
Colgate
Neutral
1,086
-
29,544
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
38.0
33.1
15.0
12.1
43.8
40.5
6.4
5.6
Dabur India
Neutral
299
-
52,581
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
38.3
33.2
7.7
7.0
25.2
24.8
5.9
5.2
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,346
-
22,482
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
30.3
26.8
6.4
5.8
21.2
21.7
3.8
3.3
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
905
-
61,647
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
41.7
33.4
9.4
8.1
22.3
23.4
6.2
5.3
HUL
Neutral
1,188
-
257,041
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
36.2
30.9
74.8
82.0
6.8
6.1
ITC
Neutral
282
-
343,668
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
29.4
25.7
7.2
6.9
25.1
27.3
7.2
6.4
Marico
Neutral
316
-
40,727
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
44.5
37.1
15.6
13.3
36.9
38.0
5.8
5.1
Nestle*
Neutral
6,625
-
63,871
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
55.3
46.9
195.1
178.3
36.7
39.8
6.0
5.4
Tata Global
Neutral
197
-
12,405
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
28.5
24.6
1.9
1.8
6.8
7.2
1.5
1.4
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,200
-
26,618
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
48.9
41.3
13.1
11.3
28.8
29.5
8.2
6.9
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
878
1,014
125,297
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
14.0
13.0
3.1
2.7
22.4
20.6
2.1
1.8
Infosys
Buy
895
1,179
205,464
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
13.9
12.9
2.7
2.5
19.7
19.6
2.2
2.0
TCS
Accumulate
2,493
2,651
491,228
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.3
16.0
5.1
4.8
29.7
29.8
3.5
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
430
533
41,931
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.1
11.3
2.1
1.9
17.0
16.3
1.1
1.0
Wipro
Neutral
291
-
141,541
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
16.0
15.2
2.5
2.2
14.6
13.4
2.3
2.2
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
371
-
6,820
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.7
13.8
3.7
3.1
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.4
HT Media
Neutral
91
-
2,128
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
11.0
8.4
0.9
0.8
8.4
10.4
0.4
0.2
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
175
225
5,724
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
13.8
12.4
2.9
2.5
21.3
21.4
2.1
1.8
Sun TV Network
Neutral
715
-
28,157
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
23.1
18.8
6.6
5.8
30.0
31.0
8.2
6.9
Hindustan Media
Neutral
267
-
1,960
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
9.2
7.9
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
1.0
0.7
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
246
344
1,465
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
13.2
12.2
2.1
2.1
15.6
17.3
1.7
1.6
Music Broadcast Limited Buy
372
434
2,122
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
62.0
37.2
3.9
3.5
6.5
9.3
7.4
6.1
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
241
-
149,630
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
14.1
11.8
2.7
2.5
45.0
55.0
1.5
1.3
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
287
-
121,140
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
13.0
10.9
4.2
3.4
32.0
35.0
4.5
3.7
Hindalco
Neutral
231
-
51,825
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
10.7
9.4
1.5
1.3
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.0
JSW Steel
Neutral
240
-
57,917
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
11.9
11.3
2.2
1.9
-
-
1.6
1.6
NMDC
Neutral
123
-
38,932
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
11.1
10.2
1.5
1.5
-
-
3.3
3.0
SAIL
Neutral
61
-
25,070
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
40.5
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.5
1.2
Vedanta
Neutral
300
-
111,367
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
11.3
8.9
2.6
2.2
-
-
2.1
1.8
Tata Steel
Neutral
633
-
61,517
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
9.7
7.8
1.5
1.3
-
-
1.0
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
384
-
64,980
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
12.8
12.4
1.6
1.5
-
-
0.9
0.9
ONGC
Neutral
160
-
204,819
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
9.7
9.4
1.2
1.1
-
-
2.3
2.3
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
426
-
206,910
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
10.6
10.1
1.8
1.7
-
-
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
1,581
-
514,223
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
17.8
17.7
1.7
1.5
-
-
1.7
1.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
506
600
9,532
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
23.2
18.6
4.2
3.5
19.8
20.6
2.5
2.1
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,805
2,161
21,587
6,901
7,850
18.4
19.1
85.0
100.5
21.2
18.0
4.3
3.6
20.2
20.1
3.1
2.7
Aurobindo Pharma
Buy
699
823
40,924
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
15.6
13.6
3.5
2.8
24.7
22.7
2.5
2.2
Aventis*
Neutral
3,993
-
9,195
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
28.5
26.0
4.1
3.4
23.5
25.8
3.3
2.7
Cadila Healthcare
Reduce
463
426
47,348
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
24.7
21.7
5.5
4.5
24.6
22.9
3.9
3.4
Cipla
Sell
560
461
45,030
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
28.4
23.0
3.2
2.9
12.0
13.2
2.9
2.4
Dr Reddy's
Buy
2,030
2,419
33,640
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
22.1
18.3
2.5
2.3
11.9
13.0
2.3
2.1
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,381
-
20,164
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
51.6
40.6
10.6
10.9
20.0
26.5
6.1
5.5
Indoco Remedies
Sell
190
153
1,747
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
16.8
14.9
2.4
2.1
15.0
15.0
1.6
1.4
Ipca labs
Buy
411
620
5,185
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
21.2
16.3
1.9
1.7
9.5
11.2
1.5
1.3
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Lupin
Buy
955
1,467
43,133
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
18.1
14.3
2.7
2.3
16.3
17.5
2.3
1.9
Natco Pharma
Accumulate
723
796
12,598
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
32.7
35.1
6.6
5.9
20.1
16.7
6.7
6.3
Sun Pharma
Buy
469
712
112,465
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
14.8
14.5
2.6
2.3
18.7
18.8
3.0
2.6
Syngene International
Buy
438
557
8,756
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
27.6
21.2
5.2
4.2
18.7
20.0
6.2
4.8
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
79
-
21,300
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
16.8
14.7
1.6
1.4
10.5
10.5
1.6
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
170
-
139,967
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
13.2
10.5
1.4
1.3
10.6
12.4
3.0
2.7
Power Grid
Neutral
219
-
114,729
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
12.2
10.5
2.0
1.8
17.7
18.2
7.9
7.3
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
260
-
9,750
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
32.9
26.5
2.0
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Buy
412
522
2,113
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
19.6
13.2
1.0
1.0
5.2
7.4
3.1
2.5
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
432
-
172,608
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
46.4
39.1
2.2
2.1
5.0
5.6
2.7
2.5
Idea Cellular
Neutral
91
-
32,658
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.4
1.5
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.2
2.0
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,289
-
9,114
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
25.6
20.5
5.7
4.7
23.7
24.8
2.5
2.1
Asian Granito
Buy
416
480
1,252
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
26.0
21.1
2.8
2.5
10.7
11.6
1.3
1.2
Bajaj Electricals
Buy
340
395
3,449
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
21.1
15.3
3.5
2.9
16.4
19.2
0.7
0.7
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
206
-
1,473
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
10.8
10.3
1.7
1.5
0.2
0.2
0.9
96.6
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
242
-
4,988
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
42.5
2.2
2.0
-
0.1
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
48
-
537
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.3
1.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.5
2.1
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
868
-
1,899
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
22.0
20.1
3.6
3.1
16.5
15.4
1.9
1.7
Goodyear India*
Neutral
820
-
1,891
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
17.1
16.5
2.6
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
114.1
Hitachi
Neutral
2,008
-
5,459
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
41.0
33.0
9.6
7.6
0.2
0.2
2.4
2.0
HSIL
Neutral
368
-
2,657
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
21.6
16.7
1.8
1.7
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.1
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,217
-
44,003
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
19.1
14.9
10.1
8.5
0.5
0.6
1.6
1.2
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
372
-
6,763
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
39.8
35.5
8.5
8.0
0.2
0.2
4.0
3.4
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
242
-
358
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
15.9
14.2
2.7
2.8
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
593
-
715
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
14.3
10.4
2.0
1.7
0.1
0.2
1.7
1.5
Mirza International
Neutral
155
-
1,859
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
19.2
16.5
3.2
2.7
16.3
16.1
1.8
1.6
Navkar Corporation
Buy
184
265
2,628
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
16.0
14.5
1.7
1.5
10.5
10.4
5.4
4.6
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,574
-
2,349
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
16.4
15.0
2.8
2.4
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
238
-
2,004
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
19.2
13.0
2.7
2.4
8.2
13.2
1.1
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
August 24, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
162
-
2,151
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
20.0
18.4
2.0
2.2
10.1
12.0
1.5
1.4
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
500
-
6,011
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
41.7
32.3
8.1
6.6
0.2
0.2
3.1
2.7
Siyaram Silk Mills
Buy
1,945
2,500
1,823
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
17.2
14.8
2.7
2.3
15.5
15.5
1.2
1.1
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
899
-
1,581
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
21.4
19.5
2.4
2.1
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
Surya Roshni
Neutral
276
-
1,209
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
12.1
9.8
1.6
1.4
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,361
-
2,573
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
13.5
12.7
3.8
3.1
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.9
Visaka Industries
Neutral
539
-
856
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
17.4
14.2
2.1
1.9
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
VIP Industries
Accumulate
206
218
2,917
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
31.5
26.4
6.7
5.8
21.1
22.1
2.0
1.7
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
665
730
3,275
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
23.2
19.1
3.8
3.3
-
-
3.0
2.3
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 23, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
August 24, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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